2025 Orange County Water Demand Projection Model
geoprocessing, a scaling ratio is developed for each agency, for each census tract. The number of jobs within a census tract multiplied by an agency-specific scaling ratio equals the number of jobs for a given retail agency in that tract. 2) Verifying job numbers with CDR data: CDR provided employment data for city boundaries in Orange County from 2019 to 2025. The CDR jurisdictional forecasts are spatially aligned with Orange County water agency boundaries using the same technique applied to the LODES data, and the 2019 job numbers were compared with the LODES 2019 job numbers. Comparison of the LODES data to the CDR data helped with the assignment of appropriate GIS census tracts and agency boundaries. The differences are shown in Table 2-5 .
Table 2-5: 2019 LODES and CDR Jobs Comparison
CDR Projection Difference from LODES (CDR-LODES)/LODES
Total 2019 Jobs (LODES)
Agency
Total 2019 Jobs (CDR)
Anaheim
196,461 43,818 36,214
209,100 45,716 37,474
6.43% 4.33% 3.48%
Brea
Buena Park
East Orange CWD
493
354
-28.19% -14.05% -2.70% -0.41% 13.97%
El Toro WD
21,280 32,804 66,899 53,476
18,290 31,917 66,622 60,948
Fountain Valley
Fullerton
Garden Grove
GSWC Cowan (assumes City of Orange service)
986
1,383
40.21%
GSWC Placentia
15,885
18,238
14.81%
GSWC West Orange Huntington Beach Irvine Ranch WD
53,365 71,084 364,318 17,795
51,862 84,726 422,026 18,643
-2.82% 19.19% 15.84% 4.77% 6.86%
La Habra La Palma
5,230
5,589
Laguna Beach (includes Emerald Bay)
7,317
10,343
41.36%
Mesa Water
107,313
98,526
-8.19%
Moulton Niguel WD
60,584
70,203
15.87%
Newport Beach
51,627
48,769
-5.54%
Orange City
112,543
109,218
-2.95%
San Clemente
17,994
20,669
14.87%
San Juan Capistrano
15,058
16,990
12.83%
Santa Ana
161,955
164,884
1.81%
Santa Margarita WD
39,661
43,717
10.22%
Seal Beach
10,484
13,059
24.56%
2-8
Appendix G - 27
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