Draft 2025 Urban Water Management Plan

2025 Orange County Water Demand Projection Model

Agency

Other Use (Percent of Volume Billed)

Buena Park

8%

East Orange CWD

12%

El Toro WD

3% 6% 4% 8% 6% 6% 6%

Fountain Valley

Fullerton

Garden Grove GSWC Cowan GSWC Placentia

GSWC Orange

Huntington Beach

11%

Irvina Ranch WD

5% 4% 4% 8%

La Habra La Palma

Laguna Beach

Mesa Water

13%

Moulton Niguel Newport Beach

5% 8% 6% 4% 6% 6% 4% 4% 5% 2%

Orange City

San Clemente

San Juan Capistrano

Santa Ana

Santa Margarita WD

Seal Beach

Serrano WD

South Coast WD

Trabuco Canyon WD

16% 12%

Tustin

Westminster

8%

Yorba Linda WD

10%

Calibrated models with other uses are used to forecast future total water use 2 .

4.1 Baseline Scenario Assumptions Future growth in driver units (housing and jobs) was tied to CDR projections through 2050. Future conditions for all other explanatory variables were selected to represent expected changes or to remain constant. Table 4-3 summarizes the baseline demand scenario assumptions for driver units and explanatory variables.

2 Values of calibration factors (Table 4-1) and other uses % (Table 4-2) may change from these initial values as agencies refine their individual model.

4-3

Appendix G - 56

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